Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 94815.152720 99955.308196 105090.149342 110601.104561 116344.737496 122150.867536 128460.233768
2025-06-22 86743.566969 94647.756959 102760.114219 111697.742546 121257.314851 131164.696690 142197.760537
2025-06-29 80380.757771 90140.982972 100374.845364 111883.410009 124442.446492 137709.395341 152761.018803
2025-07-06 75355.516572 86482.198772 98360.341528 111948.057575 127023.834626 143200.370351 161832.333588
2025-07-13 72431.608618 84795.061239 98198.053608 113754.182716 131256.972383 150285.405226 172479.543847
2025-07-20 69828.645498 83228.409940 97957.297279 115275.581987 135004.663782 156703.134062 182292.734868
2025-07-27 67191.740140 81433.157986 97289.221780 116157.030434 137897.380549 162061.375266 190845.610425
2025-08-03 64384.250318 79277.672735 96062.291141 116261.184173 139784.829673 166189.304412 197936.337679
2025-08-10 62026.282752 77519.511879 95179.716956 116656.306584 141916.373921 170528.277614 205224.581053
2025-08-17 59698.789429 75685.040116 94106.716242 116734.361380 143599.016229 174290.336647 211808.770946
2025-08-24 58208.606066 74775.929271 94059.477048 117963.671854 146587.751505 179544.777039 220127.351063
2025-08-31 56092.433888 73020.445420 92922.969955 117821.251274 147890.623848 182780.068138 226052.414865
2025-09-07 55019.024347 72519.537447 93289.456945 119495.082709 151394.095116 188671.372598 235212.574562
2025-09-14 53620.022105 71562.946783 93059.159873 120412.349455 153970.200543 193463.720543 243095.212159
2025-09-21 51921.602424 70168.609471 92235.739038 120553.839270 155566.735519 197061.274759 249544.550596
2025-09-28 50285.298254 68793.513620 91382.814992 120610.069998 157020.075945 200461.823168 255749.516532
2025-10-05 49636.522101 68647.461597 92039.684309 122526.023344 160756.833852 206641.119008 265354.736147
2025-10-12 48890.431955 68343.374137 92471.581301 124141.377779 164114.065458 212365.703126 274434.675505
2025-10-19 47877.758916 67655.637332 92385.391414 125077.372620 166608.504852 217030.238270 282232.034159
2025-10-26 46549.203755 66510.818522 91676.685239 125187.951373 168040.811757 220370.622837 288399.292600
2025-11-02 45420.837670 65595.095950 91231.275729 125607.551234 169843.693202 224162.839397 295134.179161
2025-11-09 44202.117592 64521.715501 90547.910892 125690.439386 171195.927065 227381.427060 301157.726690
2025-11-16 43550.603900 64190.384332 90816.823538 126995.815247 174107.278262 232562.907933 309662.940925